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PMI減緩/法人:電子景氣正向
Sep 1st 2014, 19:54

法人認為,蘋果新產品問世在即,零組件廠出貨力道減弱,是正常現象,但代工廠出貨動能則是旺到年底,整體電子業景氣仍正向看待。

供應鏈分析,按照電子產品拉貨慣例,都是先啟動零組件拉貨潮,代工廠等零組件到齊之後,才能開始組裝,因此零組件廠的業績會領先反映拉貨盛況。

在產品出貨前夕,由於零組件多數已備齊,因此零組件廠動能將會放緩,輪到代工廠接棒。

舉例來說,鴻海7月營收合併營收2,602.17億元,月減17.9%、年減13.3%,創17個月以來低點,但外資仍積極買超,推升股價衝上波段高點,便是看好組裝廠主要出貨高峰將落在第4季。

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